Last night was bad for Mitt Romney. He's spent millions upon millions of dollars only to be trumped by a liberal. If John McCain is worse than Hillary Clinton as many talk show hosts would have you believe, then why is it that some conservatives choose him over Mitt Romney? Why is it that in the most important races for the GOP last night he came in not second, but third? I don't know about you, but it looks like that when Mitt goes up against a liberal he loses. For example in MO last night, if Mitt Romney hadn't been in the race, I'm confident that Mike would have ousted McCain.
Mitt Romney is a spoiler to the true conservative who is the only candidate who has any chance against the Dems next year.
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5 comments:
Get real.
Huckabee can't raise money. And doesn't bother organizing in caucus states.
His appeal is not his conservative policies (lol) but his amiable manner and pleasent speaking voice.
Oh and his liberal use of biblical metaphors in his victory speeches.
If Mike Huckabee was the top of the ticket his shoestring budget, would stop being a cute story, and start being a huge liability.
Obama and Clinton have a TON of campaign money and will require a proven fundraiser to even compete with them.
Huckabee wants to be a running mate and will cozy up to Mccain, West Virginia made that crystal clear.
My prediction:
1) Romney drops out this week or next week. He won’t keep spending millions of his own money if he doesn’t have an honest shot at getting the nomination. The stubborn Huckabee stands in his way and he won’t keep throwing good money after bad, and possibly offending the GOP faithful (with his negative ads) he’ll need if he takes another shot in a few years. Add to this argument the fact that Mrs. Romney was not buying her husband’s line tonight that “this campaign will go on.” If you see the clip on the news at some point, watch the Mrs and you’ll see what I mean.
2) With a headsup campaign between McCain and Huckabee, the issues and choices become a bit more stark. McCain faces serious and passionate opposition from the stalwart forces from the right within the Republican party. Huckabee will begin to gain a lot of ground once he’s the only alternative to the moderate McCain.
3) Huckabee will ask for as many debates as he can get. Comedy shows, the GOP debates and Walker Texas Ranger is what made Huckabee what he is today. If recent history has told us anything, it is that the more face time Huckabee gets the more support he garners. I think the biggest reason he slipped in the polls in the last couple weeks is because the media thought the race was between Romney and McCain and didn’t give him much camera time. Increased television exposure that will come from a one-on-one race will favor the Huckabee campaign.
4) If/when Romney drops out, his delegates are up for grabs. Who will get those delegates and who will the superdelegates favor with Romney now out of the race?
Romney will not beat McCain in this race. His continued presence in the race, however, will ensure that McCain wins the nomination and that, in turn, the Democrats have an easy November kill of a liberal who won't garner the whole support of his party.
McCain is a liberal, but he is seen as slightly less liberal than Romney (due to Mitt's past record on things like abortion, gay marriage, and gun bans). Therefore, if Huckabee leaves the race, the majority of his votes will go to McCain and we end up with a Democrat in the White House. However, if Romney leaves the campaign, the majority of his votes would go to Huckabee, who is the only true conservative in the race and who has the best chance of beating McCain for the nomination.
More here:
http://hucktastic.blogspot.com
You did not respond to my central point - that Mike Huckabee has not shown that he can raise the big money needed to compete with Obama and Clinton.
I know you want him to win - I get it. But we need to be serious about what it takes to win the office, and a big part of that is fundraising.
Huckabee will be fine if Mccain wins the nomination since it will give him a shot at VP.
However if we get to a brokered convention all bets are off.
Huckabee has played the part of spoiler well. To never critisize McCain and make deals with him....then beat up on the other conservative proves to me that he is not interested in conservative principles....just winning. Lost my respect....won't support him.
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